A depreciation of the Indian rupee against the US dollar is likely to
- A.Make Indian exports cheaper for foreign buyers and imports costlier
- B.Make Indian exports costlier for foreign buyers and imports cheaper
- C.Reduce the rupee cost of repaying dollar loans
- D.Have no effect on the price of imported crude oil
Correct answer
A. Make Indian exports cheaper for foreign buyers and imports costlier
Explanation
The correct answer is A. When the rupee depreciates, each dollar buys more rupees, so an Indian good priced in rupees costs a foreign buyer fewer dollars and exports become more competitive, while every imported item costs more rupees than before. Option B is wrong because it reverses this relationship; exports becoming costlier and imports cheaper is the effect of an appreciation. Option C is wrong because repaying a loan fixed in dollars takes more rupees after a depreciation, which is exactly why firms with external commercial borrowings suffer when the rupee weakens. Option D is wrong because crude oil is bought in dollars and forms a large part of India's import bill, so a weaker rupee raises the landed cost of oil, feeds into transport and manufacturing costs and adds to imported inflation. Remittances from workers abroad also fetch more rupees, which is a common additional statement in this question.
Read the full article: Foreign Exchange and Exchange Rate: Concepts and Policy
Practice Questions
View allWith reference to the Indian economy, consider the following statements: 1. An increase in the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) indicates the appreciation of rupee. 2. An increase in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) indicates an improvement in trade competitiveness. 3. An increasing trend in domestic inflation relative to inflation in other countries is likely to cause an increasing divergence between NEER and REER. Which of the above statements are correct?
- A.1 and 2 only
- B.2 and 3 only
- C.1 and 3 only
- D.1, 2 and 3
Show answer
Correct answer: C. 1 and 3 only
Explanation
The correct answer is C, 1 and 3 only. Statement 1 is right because the NEER is a trade weighted index of the rupee against a basket of partner currencies, so a rise in the index means the rupee has appreciated in nominal terms. Statement 3 is right because the REER adjusts the NEER for relative prices, so when domestic inflation runs faster than inflation abroad the two indices move apart. Statement 2 is wrong, and this is why options A, B and D fail: a rise in the REER means the rupee has become expensive in real terms, which makes Indian goods dearer abroad and weakens, not improves, trade competitiveness. Option A is wrong because it accepts statement 2 and leaves out the correct statement 3, option B is wrong because it accepts statement 2 and drops the correct statement 1, and option D is wrong because it accepts all three including the faulty second one.
Consider the following statements: 1. Tight monetary policy of US Federal Reserve could lead to capital flight. 2. Capital flight may increase the interest cost of firms with existing External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs). 3. Devaluation of domestic currency decreases the currency risk associated with ECBs. Which of the statements given above are correct?
- A.1 and 2 only
- B.2 and 3 only
- C.1 and 3 only
- D.1, 2 and 3
Show answer
Correct answer: A. 1 and 2 only
Explanation
The correct answer is A, 1 and 2 only. Statement 1 is right because when the United States Federal Reserve tightens, returns there become attractive and portfolio money flows out of emerging markets, which is capital flight. Statement 2 is right because such an outflow weakens the rupee and raises risk premiums, so a firm servicing an external commercial borrowing pays more in rupee terms and finds refinancing dearer. Statement 3 is wrong, and this settles the other options: a fall in the value of the domestic currency raises, not lowers, the currency risk on a loan that must be repaid in dollars, because every dollar of repayment now costs more rupees. Option B is wrong because it accepts the faulty third statement and drops the correct first one, option C is wrong for accepting statement 3 while leaving out statement 2, and option D is wrong because it accepts all three.
What challenge does foreign investment often face in India?
- A.Excessive foreign competition
- B.Inconsistent regulatory environment
- C.Lack of skilled labour
- D.Lack of consumer base
Show answer
Correct answer: B. Inconsistent regulatory environment
Explanation
The correct answer is B, inconsistent regulatory environment. Foreign investors bring in foreign exchange and look for predictable rules, and the difficulty most often listed for India is regulatory uncertainty: changing rules, clearances spread across departments and states, and disputes that take long to settle. Option A is wrong because competition from other foreign firms is a normal feature of any open market and is not a barrier that keeps investment out; investors come precisely to compete. Option C is wrong because India offers a large pool of engineers, managers and low cost workers and is usually described as strong on labour supply even where specific skills are short. Option D is wrong because a very large domestic consumer market is one of the main attractions that draws foreign direct investment to India, not a challenge. Remember that stable and simple rules are counted as the chief attraction for investment inflows.
The Foreign Exchange Management Act, FEMA, replaced which of the following laws?
- A.Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1973
- B.Banking Regulation Act, 1949
- C.Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Act, 1969
- D.Securities and Exchange Board of India Act, 1992
Show answer
Correct answer: A. Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1973
Explanation
The correct answer is A, the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act of 1973. FERA treated foreign exchange as a scarce resource, forbade most dealings unless permitted and made breaches criminal offences. It suited a closed economy and became unworkable after 1991, so Parliament passed the Foreign Exchange Management Act in 1999, which came into force in 2000, permits dealings unless restricted and treats breaches as civil matters. Option B is wrong because the Banking Regulation Act of 1949 governs the licensing and supervision of banks. Option C is wrong because the MRTP Act of 1969 dealt with monopolies and restrictive trade practices and was itself replaced by the Competition Act of 2002. Option D is wrong because the SEBI Act of 1992 gave statutory powers to the securities market regulator. Keep the pair FERA 1973 and FEMA 1999 ready, along with the fact that the Reserve Bank administers FEMA.
In which year did India accept the obligations of Article VIII of the IMF, making the rupee fully convertible on the current account?
- A.1991
- B.1993
- C.1994
- D.1999
Show answer
Correct answer: C. 1994
Explanation
The correct answer is C, 1994. India accepted the obligations of Article VIII of the Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund in August 1994, which means the rupee can be exchanged freely for trade in goods and services, travel, education, remittances and interest payments. Option A is wrong because 1991 is the year of the balance of payments crisis and of the two step devaluation of the rupee in July, the beginning rather than the completion of the reform. Option B is wrong because March 1993 is when the dual rate of the Liberalised Exchange Rate Management System was unified into a single market determined rate, one step before convertibility. Option D is wrong because 1999 is the year FEMA was enacted. The capital account is still only partly convertible, which is the distinction papers test along with these dates.